NFL

January 12, 2019, 10:58 pm

Patriots vs. Chargers odds, line: 2019 NFL divisional round picks, playoff predictions from advanced model on 16-6 run

SportsLine's advanced computing machine exemplary simulated Sunday's Chargers vs. Patriots game 10,000 times

Patriots vs. Chargers odds, line: 2019 NFL divisional round picks, playoff predictions from advanced model on 16-6 run
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The Los Angeles Chargers will leave of absence barmy Southern California to take on the New England Patriots in an AFC Divisional Round matchup on Sunday at 1:05 p.m. ET. It's L.A.'s 2nd consecutive cross-country game aft Philip Rivers and institution licked the AFC North prizewinning Ravens last week. The dispersed has been comparatively firm this week, with New England active off at -4 in the latest Patriots vs. Chargers odds, just half-a-point down from the beginning line. The over-under for entire points Vegas expects to be scored is 47.5 contempt anticipated cold temperatures. Rivers is sounding for his archetypal statute title in six posttime period chances, piece Patriots quarterback Tom Brady is sounding for a 6th Super Bowl. This time period mightiness be Rivers' best shot yet, so earlier lockup in any Patriots vs. Chargers picks of your own, be sure to bank check out the NFL predictions from SportsLine's Projection Model.

SportsLine's branded computing machine exemplary went 176-80 consecutive up last time period and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports Office Pool players in 2016 and '17. It also performed better than 98 percent of experts tracked by NFLPickWatch.com during that span. Additionally, it went 48-34 on A-rated picks against the dispersed last time period, and $100 bettors who have followed it the past two time periods are up nearly $4,000. 

The exemplary has continued to nail its top-rated picks in 2018-19, entering the divisional round on a blistering 16-6 run. For the time period, it is now 30-15 on all top-rated picks, extending its two-year run to a strong 78-49. It also went 170-84 on consecutive-up NFL picks during the regular time period, ranking inside the top 10 on NFLPickWatch.com. Additionally, it hit all four NFL dispersed picks on Wild Card Weekend. Anyone who has followed it is way up. 

Now, it has crunched the numbers for Chargers vs. Patriots (stream live on fuboTV) from every angle and simulated the game 10,000 times. We can tell you it's leaning Under, but it also says one side of the dispersed has all the value, making it a must-back. That pick is only available at SportsLine. 

The exemplary knows New England has historically dominated Rivers and the Chargers. Rivers is just 1-7 against New England in his career consecutive-up, with the only win coming against a Matt Cassel-led squad. The Patriots are 11-1 against the Chargers in games played at Foxborough. 

Additionally, the Patriots were the only team that went unlicked this time period at home, and they've made seven consecutive AFC Championship Game appearances. The Pats also have the advantage of a week off, piece the Chargers played a physical game against Baltimore in the Wild Card Round. New England is 6-2 against the dispersed at home this time period and has been favored in every game at Gillette Stadium.

Still, New England is no sure thing to cover the Patriots vs. Chargers dispersed against an L.A. (13-4) team that heads to Foxborough playing perhaps as well as any team in the NFL right now.

The exemplary knows the Chargers had to innovate last week against Lamar Jackson and the Ravens, playing seven defensive backs the majority of the time in an effort to contain the opposing quarterback. However, they'll have to take a more conventional approach this week against the Patriots, which is something they should still be more than capable of aft finishing in the top 10 in scoring defense, entire defense, pass defense and run defense. 

The Patriots have struggled when they're out-gained on the ground, rushing for an average of just 86.8 yards per game piece giving up 152 in their five losses this time period. A potent pass rush featuring players like Joey Bosa and Melvin Ingram could make New England's offense one-dimensional. The Chargers are also 10-7 against the dispersed this time period and a rock solid 8-2 ATS on the road. They've covered five of six times as an underdog or pick'em.

Who wins Chargers vs. Patriots? And which side of the dispersed is a must-back? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the dispersed you need to jump on Sunday, all from the computing machine exemplary that has returned nearly $4,000 to $100 bettors over the past two time periods.

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