December 6, 2018, 1:00 pm

NFL Week 14 odds, picks: Don't trust Broncos as a road favorite, plus more best bets

Three picks and a cloud of trust for Week 14 of the NFL time period

NFL Week 14 odds, picks: Don't trust Broncos as a road favorite, plus more best bets

Well, it would fig that the week aft I swore off dissipated against the New Orleans Saints that they'd go out and get spanked by the Cowboys, but it's just been that kind of time period for me here. I went 1-2 last week for the 2nd week in a row, though I do acknowledge Todd Gurley's unusual effort to not mark a score with more than two minutes left in the game. I know he idea he was portion his team try to run out the clock, but a part of me likes to deliberation Todd was sounding out for my Lions +10 play.

Hopefully, I won't need Gurley or anybody else devising unusual decisions to help me put unneurotic a bankable week in Week 14.

(Stream Thursday's and all of Sunday's games on fuboTV, try it for free, and watercourse the CBS games on CBS All Access.)

49ers (+4.5) vs. Broncos

The 49ers went to Seattle last Sunday and got their butts kicked, losing 43-16. They've now lost 3 consecutive and nine of their former 10. So, you know, things are active large in San Francisco. Seriously, though, it's time period like these I like to buy low on teams. With the blowout loss last week concerted with the 2-10 evidence on the time period, there's numerical quantity to be recovered here as teams like this are frequently backhand off by the public.

And let them write the Niners off. If that means the public wants to put its money behind Case Keenum as a road favorite, well, I'll let them do that. I'm active to take the Niners and the points. Broncos 24, 49ers 20


    Colts at Texans (Under 49.5)

    I've always been a fan of the under in divisional matchups like this, particularly later in the time period when the teams already met earlier in the time period. The fact the first meeting between these two resulted in a 37-34 mark makes me more confident for some unusual reason. The idea process is that the teams are already familiar with one another, and have played, there's plenty of tape to study, and the defenses are better prepared for what they'll see.

    Plus, the Texans defense has been playing a lot better in recent weeks than it had been at the time of the first meeting. Furthermore, the under has gone 11-4 in Houston's last 15 conference games, 14-6 in the Colts' last 20 games, and it's 11-5 in the last 16 games between these two. Follow the trends. Texans 27, Colts 21

    Vikings (+3.5) at Seahawks

    Earlier I mentioned how I like taking teams like the 49ers who are running bad and coming off a blowout loss. Well, there's another side to that coin. I also love fading teams coming off a blowout win the week before because we tend to see the public overnumerical quantity them. Combine that with Minnesota losing to the Patriots 24-10 last week, and we have a line that's just a little larger than it probably should be.

    Seattle's won 3 in a row, but look closer. It beat a Packers team that's been lost all time period, a Panthers team currently in a freefall, and the 49ers. Minnesota has a dynamic offense and a strong defense. It's the biggest challenge Seattle's faced since losing to the Rams a month ago. The Vikings can win this game, but we'll be satisfied with them covering the spread. Seahawks 27, Vikings 24

    SportsLine Bonus Pick

    Atlanta Falcons at Green Bay Packers: The Packers host the Falcons, and they're favored by 5.5 points with the total set at 49.5 points. I have a strong pick available for his game, but you'll have to head to my SportsLine page to find out what it is.

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